NECESSITY/SUFFICIENCY AS A CONCEPTUAL MODEL FOR PREDICTOR-CRITERION RELATIONSHIPS.

Abstract

The concepts of necessity and sufficiency are presented as the basis for understanding various predictor-criterion relationships. Three types of strong relationships are introduced as models for the discovery, utilization, and evaluation of predictors: (1) 'necessary-and-sufficient,' the conventional symmetrical relationship where the frequencies in two cells of the four-fold table approach zero as the association increases, (2) 'necessary-but-not-sufficient,' the asymmetrical relationship where the frequency in only the false-positive cell approaches zero, and (3) 'sufficient-but-not-necessary,' the asymmetrical relationship where the frequency in only the false-negative cell approaches zero. It is shown that the necessary-and-sufficient model is a poor basis for the discovery, utilization, and validation of necessary-but-not-sufficient and sufficient-but-not-necessary predictors. Due to over-emphasis of the necessary-and-sufficient model, it is likely that many potentially useful predictors have been discarded as useless. An improved methodology is suggested. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1967
Accession Number
AD0659288

Entities

People

  • Ervin W. Curtis

Organizations

  • Naval Health Research Center

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Frequency
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Validation

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Educational Psychology
  • Urban Planning and Geography.