DELPHI

Abstract

An experiment was conducted comparing the performance of structured face-to-face discussion groups and the anonymous questionnaire technique. The experiment was guided by two presumptions: (1) that in a face-to-face situation, information transfer is likely to be much greater than in the anonymous controlled communication situation; and (2) that the effect of undesirable social interactions could be meliorated by imposing a specific format for the discussions. The presumption to be tested was that a structured conference of this sort would produce more accurate estimates than the questionnaire technique. The major outcome of the experiment was that the presumption that the structured discussion would turn in a better performance was not born out; in fact, the questionnaire responses were, if anything, somewhat more accurate than the structured conference responses.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 01, 1967
Accession Number
AD0660554

Entities

People

  • Norman C. Dalkey

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Analysis Of Variance
  • California
  • Communication Channels
  • Communities
  • Corporations
  • Delphi Method
  • Feedback
  • Information Processing
  • Information Transfer
  • Materials
  • New Mexico
  • Questionnaires
  • Reliability
  • Simulations
  • Standards
  • Strategic Bombing

Readers

  • Educational Psychology
  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.
  • Theoretical Analysis.