REPLACEMENT RULES FOR PARTIALLY OBSERVABLE EQUIPMENT.

Abstract

Optimal inspection and replacement rules are considered for a simple piece of equipment. The equipment can be in one of only two states -- a good state or a bad state. The failure distribution of the equipment is Markovian. The true state of the equipment is unknown at all times except immediately after a replacement action. However, indirect indications of the state of the equipment can be obtained by taking observations of a quality characteristic. The distributions of the quality characteristic, conditional on the state of the equipment, are assumed to be continuous and known. It is shown that the sequence of observations and actions can be summarized into a statistic X(t) which represents the probability that the equipment is defective at time t. For a given cost structure, the objective is to minimize the expected total discounted future cost up to an infinite horizon. Two models are considered.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 01, 1967
Accession Number
AD0662226

Entities

People

  • Dev Kumar Ray

Organizations

  • Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Inspection
  • Mathematics
  • Observation
  • Probability
  • Sequences

Readers

  • Aerospace Test and Evaluation
  • Mathematical Modeling and Probability Theory.
  • Statistical inference.