REPORT ON TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING

Abstract

The report promotes the utilization of a system of logical analysis which, when applied to pertinent technological data, can result in credible and explicit technological conclusions. To this end, the study group attempted to evaluate, by survey and literature, possible forecasting techniques and conceptual approaches to technological forecasting. The manual is directed toward scientific or engineering specialists who may be asked to contribute inputs to forecasts but who may have only limited understanding of technological forecasting and its possible approaches and problems. It attempts to clarify a complex, controversial subject and recommends increased use of a number of techniques and a synoptic viewpoint that can improve the credibility and utility of forecasts provided by these specialists. The guide may also be of interest to users of such forecasts and, hopefully, will promote greater acceptance by providing an explanation of the rationale and methods of technological forecasting. An extensive bibliography on technological forecasting and an index is included in the report.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 30, 1967
Accession Number
AD0664165

Entities

People

  • D. B. Keckler
  • E. Mackiewicz
  • Elma Henderson
  • H. A. Wells
  • H. T. Darracott
  • J. W. Sterling
  • M. J. Cetron
  • T. I. Monahan
  • W. A. Mckenney

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Counter WMD
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Aircrafts
  • Commerce
  • Computational Science
  • Electric Power
  • Engineers
  • Information Processing
  • Management Personnel
  • Material Degradation Processes
  • Materials Laboratories
  • Materials Processing
  • Materials Science
  • Materials Testing
  • Military Research
  • Nuclear Weapons
  • Operations Research
  • Spacecraft
  • Systems Engineering

Readers

  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.
  • Strategic Security Studies
  • Theoretical Analysis.