PREDICTION OF POLICE INCIDENTS AND ACCIDENTS BY METEOROLOGICAL variables.

Abstract

Weather variables were studied as predictors of police incidents in the City of Fort Worth for a six month period. Frequencies of 31 categories of calls to the police department and means of 13 weather variables, as well as the day of the year, were computed by six-hour intervals. Correlations among all variables were computed for each of the four quarters of the day over 178 days, and also across all 712 quarter-day periods; nine categories of police calls were selected for further analysis. Two factors, a temperature-pressure and precipitation-fog, were found for all criteria; a pressure-wind factor occurred for 8 of the 9 criterion variables, and a precipitation factor occurred for three criteria. Methodological problems suggest caution in interpretation, although both the results and the methods used appear promising for further research. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 1969
Accession Number
AD0685615

Entities

People

  • Donald P. Will Jr.
  • Saul B. Sells

Organizations

  • Texas Christian University

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accidents
  • Frequency
  • Precipitation

Readers

  • Climatology
  • Mathematics or Statistics
  • Organizational Psychology.