THE PREDICTION OF OPERATIONAL SUCCESS.
Abstract
A general procedure for obtaining a direct estimate of confidence in the success of a process is developed. The measure of confidence is an expected value of reliability based on a Bayesian a posteriori distribution. A flexible model of the a priori distribution permits the combination of a priori estimates with the results of either attribute (success or failure, or variate (measurement) testing. A self-contained applications section summarizes the methods of computation. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 16, 1969
- Accession Number
- AD0689748
Entities
People
- Joseph W. Duroux
Organizations
- The Aerospace Corporation