THE DELPHI METHOD, II: STRUCTURE OF EXPERIMENTS,

Abstract

The paper presents compilation of the experimental designs, questionnaires, and resulting group response data representing the raw materials of a Rand evaluation of Delphi procedures. (Analysis of the data and major conclusions are presented in AD-690 498). The Delphi technique uses an anonymous, orderly program of sequential individual interrogations, with controlled feedback from respondents between interrogations, to elicit and refine group judgments where exact knowledge is unavailable. Different experiments tested different hypotheses. One was designed to compare the relative accuracy of group answers obtained by the Delphi questionnaire-feedback method with those obtained by a structured, face-to-face discussion.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1969
Accession Number
AD0690988

Entities

People

  • Bonnie R. Brown
  • N. Dalkey
  • S. Cochran

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Data Science
  • Delphi Method
  • Experimental Design
  • Feedback
  • Hypotheses
  • Information Science
  • Interrogation
  • Judgment
  • Materials
  • Questionnaires
  • Statistics
  • Surveys
  • Test And Evaluation

Readers

  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.
  • Organizational Psychology.
  • Regression Analysis.