A MODEL OF LONG DELAYS AT BUSY AIRPORTS,

Abstract

In this paper, a model of long delays at busy airports is sketched. The primary purpose is to provide a tool to assist in evaluating the benefits, in terms of reduced delay, of any policy to limit traffic. Along the way, an improved method of estimating delay patterns is outlined, and traffic and delay estimates for Kennedy arrivals are presented. As an illustration, the model is fitted for Kennedy arrivals. Section I presents the simple theoretical formulation of our model. Section II develops empirical estimates of traffic and delays that are needed to fit the model to Kennedy arrivals. In Section III, the procedure used to fit the model is outlined. Some results on delay reductions to be expected given specified traffic reductions are summarized in Section IV. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1969
Accession Number
AD0691860

Entities

People

  • Alan Carlin
  • Rolla Edward Park

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Readers

  • Aviation Safety and Air Traffic Management
  • Business Analytics
  • Regression Analysis.