ABSTRACT REPRESENTATION OF GOALS: A METHOD FOR MAKING DECISIONS IN COMPLEX PROBLEMS

Abstract

The work is part of a larger program of research into the process of transport systems planning. It presents a method for choosing among alternatives in complex, multi-goal problems. The method consists of four principal steps. First, list all the known goals. Second, determine how the various goals are related--specification, means-end, value-wise independent or dependent. Third, determine which goals can be predicted, and obtain predictions on them. Fourth, use any of five techniques to condense this predicted data through several stages into a final choice. The method operates on paired alternatives to produce a preference; it can be applied sequentially to all the alternatives to produce a complete preference ranking.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1968
Accession Number
AD0693070

Entities

People

  • Fred L. Hall
  • Marvin L. Manheim

Organizations

  • Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Civil Engineering
  • Cost Benefit Analysis
  • Cost Effectiveness
  • Costs
  • Department Of Defense
  • Economic Impact
  • Engineering
  • Engineers
  • Fatalities
  • Intervals
  • Mathematics
  • Mechanical Engineering
  • New York
  • Specifications
  • Transportation
  • Transportation Engineering
  • Travel Time

Readers

  • Regression Analysis.
  • Systems Analysis and Design