FACTORS AFFECTING RETRIEVAL OF TASK-TIME DATA FROM HUMAN STORE,

Abstract

A methodology for obtaining time estimates from human subjects was developed which was consistent with current theory and the empirical data. The methodology was tested on 20 subjects, experienced and inexperienced workers who were currently performing the same task at the Long Beach Naval Shipyard. Subjects were asked to estimate task completion times based on their total past experience and to assign a probability of occurrence to each time value. The end products were probability distributions of task completion times, which were then compared with actual task time measurements made by Methods and Standards personnel at the shipyard. Estimated times from experienced workers were within satisfactory range when a 'learning curve' correction was made. Some variables affecting human judgment of time duration were investigated. The need for further research was discussed and proposals were outlined. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1969
Accession Number
AD0696985

Entities

People

  • Lael Bongers

Organizations

  • University of California, Los Angeles

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Judgment
  • Learning
  • Mathematics
  • Measurement
  • Mental Processes
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Shipyards
  • Standards

Fields of Study

  • Psychology

Readers

  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.
  • Regression Analysis.