APPLICATION OF DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING TO SELECT TACTICS FOR AIR-TO-GROUND ATTACK UNDER UNCERTAINTY

Abstract

The work applies dynamic programming and some notions from decision theory to the problem of making a rational selection of tactics for air-to- ground attack. A single aircraft attack on a target is treated as a multistage decision process with successive aircraft passes corresponding to stages. The basic factors to be considered at each stage are the weapon effectiveness, aircraft survival, and target acquisition and weapon delivery. An optimal policy is determined that indicates the number of weapons to be delivered and the mode of attack to be used at each pass depending on what state of affairs develops as the attack progresses. The single aircraft attack models produce a 'return-versus-attrition function' that is used in multiple aircraft raid models to determine the optimum raid size and the best policy for each aircraft. A multiple aircraft raid on multiple targets is considered where the problem is to allocate a given number of aircraft among targets and specify the policy for each aircraft to maximize the total utility to the attackers subject to suitable constraints. Uncertainty as to the true parameter values is approached by assuming complete ignorance of the value that each parameters might take within a specified range of uncertainty. A systematic method is developed that aids the decision maker to make a rational tactic selection considering that the parameter values might fall anywhere within their ranges of uncertainty.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 1969
Accession Number
AD0697808

Entities

People

  • Clifford Don Fawcett

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • C4I
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acquisition
  • Air Defense
  • Air Force
  • Air Force Facilities
  • Aircrafts
  • Area Defense
  • Attrition
  • Computer Programming
  • Game Theory
  • Mathematical Programming
  • Military Aircraft
  • Military Organizations
  • Multiple Targets
  • Operations Research
  • Optimization
  • Probability
  • Random Variables

Readers

  • Irregular Warfare and Special Operations Cyberspace Operations against Adversarial Threats.
  • Regression Analysis.
  • Systems Analysis and Design