REMARKS ON WARNING SYSTEM SPECIFICATIONS AND STRUCTURES

Abstract

Several conceptual questions dealing with warning system structures are discussed, including techniques for correlating the outputs of multiple warning systems that compose a warning complex. The discussions are illustrated by a number of elementary analyses, dealing with warning probabilities, false- warning rates, and warning times. The mathematical calculations pertain to hypothetical automatic event detectors and automatic decision systems employing the outputs of such detectors. It is demonstrated that the use of multiple sensing elements in a warning system implies a need for proper association of redundantly detected signatures of real events and false signatures. The consequences of imperfect association are false-warning rates that can exceed by a considerable factor the rates that would be obtained assuming perfect association and when undesired warnings are generated in response to nonbelligerent activities.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1969
Accession Number
AD0699157

Entities

People

  • Robert D. Turner

Organizations

  • Institute for Defense Analyses

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Ballistic Missiles
  • Composite Structures
  • Data Processing
  • Detection
  • Detectors
  • Event Detection
  • Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles
  • Launching
  • Probability
  • Statistics
  • Strategic Warning
  • Submarine Launched
  • Submarine Launched Ballistic Missiles
  • Tactical Warning
  • United States
  • Vehicles
  • Warning Systems

Readers

  • Sensor Fusion and Tracking Systems.
  • Systems Analysis and Design