DERIVATION OF ADDITIONAL PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION FOR ANALYZING DECISIONS UNDER RISK.
Abstract
The problem of analyzing decisions under risk is investigated. The vehicle for this investigation is the single-period inventory model commonly referred to as the newsboy problem. The maximum expected value of the profit is the criterion most often used in making a decision in this type of problem. The paper analyzes this model in several ways. Appropriate display of additional information allows the decision maker to implicitly assign his utilities in terms of his preferences when making decisions under risk. A modification of the expected utility function is also discussed. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Sep 01, 1970
- Accession Number
- AD0713050
Entities
People
- John Patrick Dowling Jr
Organizations
- Naval Postgraduate School