FORECASTING ASIAN STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTS FOR NATIONAL SECURITY DECISIONMAKING: A REPORT AND A METHOD,

Abstract

The report presents a description of a forecasting model, based on political and technological forecasting techniques, to help decisionmakers identify salient futures for present policy consideration. The Alternative Salient Futures (ASF) forecast is reported for India in 1980, offering several dimensions for analytical presentation. ASF is then applied to a five-power Asia in 1980 with changing governments in the United States, USSR, CPR, Japan, and India under two alternative conditions: an American troop and aid withdrawal from all Asian commitments and an American withdrawal of troops only. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1970
Accession Number
AD0713096

Entities

People

  • Wayne Wilcox

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Delphi Method
  • Environment
  • Governments
  • National Security
  • Security
  • United States

Readers

  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis
  • Political Violence and Terrorism Studies.
  • Technical Research and Report Writing.