Markov Chains and Manpower Forecasts.

Abstract

The report describes investigations into the applicability of the Markovian process model in manpower management. The descriptive and predictive usefulness of the model was empirically investigated by applying the model to ten years of manpower data. Included are investigations into the stability of the transitional probabilities and the related implications for forecasting accuracy. The relevance of the application is assessed against two general criteria: Does the model provide analytical insights useful in the description and understanding of manpower processes, and does the model provide accurate forecasts of future distribution of manpower resources. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1970
Accession Number
AD0719413

Entities

People

  • George T. Milkovich
  • Thomas A. Mahoney

Organizations

  • University of Minnesota

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Collaborative Techniques
  • Delphi Method
  • Management Engineering
  • Manpower
  • Manpower Utilization
  • Markov Chains
  • Mathematics
  • Personnel Management
  • Probability

Readers

  • Mathematical Modeling and Probability Theory.
  • Personnel Management and Statistics in the Military and Department of Defense
  • Systems Analysis and Design