Changes in the Position of Ice Edge in North Caspium and the Prospects of Their Forecasting (Ob Izmenchivosti Polozheniya Kromki lda v Severnom Kaspii Vozmozhnosti ee Predskazaniya),

Abstract

Yearly, monthly and ten-day changes in the position of ice edge in the North Caspium are discussed in detail, giving data on the width of shore ice and drift ice belts. The ice edge is related to the intensity of atmospheric circulation, air temperature, iciness and synoptic processes prior to forecasting. Equations used in forecasting the position of ice edge have large correlation coefficients (more than 80). The reliability of forecasting based on equations exceeds the natural reliability and is slightly smaller than the inertial reliability, no matter what the calculation errors are. The data on iciness in the North Caspium are reduced to the 15th day of each month from 1928 to 1962. In addition, coordinates of ice edge are given for the period. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1971
Accession Number
AD0724672

Entities

People

  • E. S. Karakash

Organizations

  • Naval Oceanographic Office

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Temperature
  • Coefficients
  • Delphi Method
  • Equations
  • Intensity
  • Reliability

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Information Retrieval