An Approach to the Establishment of Practical Air Traffic Control Safety Goals.
Abstract
The report shows how a knowledge of the incidence of fatal aircraft accidents in the recent past can be combined with an estimate of the overall risk in various types of human activity, which have been found socially acceptable, to produce rational, quantitative goals for the risk associated with air traffic control. Fatal accidents over an eight-year period, from 1961 to 1968 inclusive, are categorized in 36 groups based on 6 phases of flight and 6 type-cause categories. The improvement in overall air transportation safety which could be achieved by reducing or eliminating all sources of accident which are, in any way, related to air traffic control is examined. Inasmuch as the majority of fatalities cannot, by the most generous reckoning, be associated with air traffic control, the total possible improvement is not impressive. When, on the other hand, proportional reduction in risk from all causes is assumed, a set of mutually compatible risk goals for each of the 36 groups can be stated. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- May 01, 1971
- Accession Number
- AD0726470
Entities
People
- Gordon Raisbeck
- Simon F. Lister
Organizations
- Arthur D. Little