Simulation and Real World Conflict: Some Comparisons,

Abstract

A basic assumption is that the international system may be organized in two ways--as a series of nation states or in an international system with a multitude of extra-national linkages between people. In nation state systems the probability of major war is high; minor conflict is less likely. The opposite is expected for international systems. Simulated runs of nation state and international systems were conducted in a laboratory. Conflict patterns in the real world in 1955-1957 seem to resemble the nation state simulations (as do the conflict patterns of adults compared to high school students). Nation state conflict patterns are more associated with war than are international system patterns. Both the frequency and cause of violence seem to be quite different as the international system becomes more complexly integrated.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1970
Accession Number
AD0730097

Entities

People

  • Paul Smoker

Organizations

  • University of Southern California

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Buildings And Structures
  • Frequency
  • Mathematics
  • Probability
  • Research Facilities
  • Simulations
  • Social Problems
  • Violence

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Political Violence and Terrorism Studies.
  • Systems Analysis and Design