Games of Prediction of Periodic Sequences

Abstract

In the paper several infinite two-person games are studied, all having the following common structure: Player 1 (Emitter) produces a binary periodic sequence; Player 2 (Predictor) observes some initial segment of this sequence and then tries to predict the next digit. The payoff to Emitter is zero if the prediction is a correct one. The games differ in additional assumptions--those are in particular: Predictor required to make his prediction after observing a prescribed number of digits of the sequence; Predictor allowed to observe any number of digits but earning a decreasing amount for each correct prediction as the number increases; The period of the emitted sequence being chosen by random from some fixed distribution; Emitter allowed to choose the period but being paid a decreasing amount for incorrect prediction as the period increases. Combining these assumptions two zero-sum and two nonzero-sum games are obtained. It is shown that all these games possess a solution, some are at least partially solved and their further properties investigated.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1971
Accession Number
AD0733434

Entities

People

  • Bruno O. Shubert

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Applied Mathematics
  • Defense Systems
  • Emitters
  • Interdisciplinary Science
  • Linear Programming
  • Mathematics
  • Matrix Games
  • Military Research
  • Nonlinear Programming
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Radar
  • Search Radar
  • Sequences
  • United States
  • Zero-Sum Games

Readers

  • Game Theory.
  • Statistical inference.
  • Theoretical Analysis.