An Experiment in Additional Stratification of Conditional Climatology Summaries for Short-Term Forecast Aids.

Abstract

The paper describes the results of an experiment to utilize two additional parameters in stratifying observational data for conditional climatology (CC) summaries. Conventional CC aids used throughout Air Weather Service stratify hourly observations by month, hour, initial ceiling/visibility category, and final ceiling/visibility category at some later time. Later versions add surface wind direction sectors as a fifth parameter. This note introduces the use of present weather and ceiling/visibility trend over the previous hour as the sixth and seventh variables in determining the conditional probabilities of five ceiling/visibility categories four hours from initial observation. A sample of the output is presented. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 01, 1971
Accession Number
AD0734036

Entities

People

  • Dale G. Rogers

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Climatology
  • Observation
  • Probability
  • Stratification
  • Visibility
  • Wind
  • Wind Direction

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Mathematics or Statistics
  • Regression Analysis.