A Comparison of Two Personnel Prediction Models

Abstract

The paper describes, compares and contrasts two mathematical models of personnel movement through a hierarchical organization. The first model is a Markov chain type which is described in detail in other literature. The emphasis in the paper is on a cohort model based on people's lifetime behavior in the system. Data from student enrollments are used in comparing the models, and predictions are made and compared with actual numbers.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1971
Accession Number
AD0735127

Entities

People

  • Kneale T. Marshall

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • California
  • Covariance
  • Equations
  • Intervals
  • Management Personnel
  • Markov Chains
  • Markov Models
  • Mathematical Models
  • Models
  • New York
  • Normal Distribution
  • Organizational Structure
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Schools
  • Students
  • United States

Readers

  • Mathematical Modeling and Probability Theory.
  • STEM Education
  • Theoretical Analysis.