Prediction of Human Reliability. Part 1. Development and Test of a Human Reliability Predictive Technique for Application in Electronic Maintainability Prediction
Abstract
Solution to the problem of estimating the probability that a given electronic malfunction will be corrected within a given time is addressed through compatible, complementary techniques. One technique compounds Fleet derived job factor success probability data to yield a probability of malfunction correction success. The complementary technique, based on computer simulation methods, yields the anticipated time for malfunction correction. The two techniques were applied to two different operational Navy systems. The results are presented and discussed in the context of technique reliability, utility, discriminating power, and reasonableness of obtained results.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Nov 10, 1971
- Accession Number
- AD0738572
Entities
People
- Arthur I. Siegel
- Philip J. Federman