A Decision Theoretic Solution for a Bidding-Work Loading Game

Abstract

The extensive form of decision analysis is used to generate tables which permit a decision maker to determine an optimal course of action after making a simple calculation. Presentation of the partial solution permits substantial reduction in the volume of material which must be tabulated. Judicious choice of state relationships at each stage further decreases the volume, thus providing an example of how large scale decision problems can be made more tractable. The game, which constrains work capacity and permits interaction between years, is solved using expected increase in future assets as the decision variable.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 29, 1972
Accession Number
AD0741332

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  • Thomas P. Tytula

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  • Human Systems

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  • Computer Programming
  • Computer Programs
  • Computers
  • Decision Theory
  • Dynamic Programming
  • Engineering
  • Game Theory
  • Government Procurement
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  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
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Readers

  • Finite Element Method (FEM) for solving Partial Differential Equations (PDEs)
  • Game Theory.
  • Systems Analysis and Design