Active and Passive Defense Interaction Studies. Volume I. Summary, Models, and Calculations,
Abstract
The shortness of the time of flight of submarine launched missiles renders both quick access to shelters and delay of the attack by missile defense important. In order to evaluate the relative effectiveness of the two types of protection - quick access shelters and missile defense - three models have been investigated. The first of these is concerned with individual cities of territories (called 'islands') which are within the range of a single missile defense installation. The second and third models are concerned with the interaction of the defenses of the islands of the entire nation. The second one assumes, as does the first, that the attacker knows whether or not his missile reached its target before committing a second missile to the same target. This 'shoot-look-shoot' assumption is surely not valid if the defense adopts a probabilistic tactic whereby some targets are defended and others are not and if reasonable civil defense is available so that the vulnerability of people decreases as a result of the movement to shelter. Hence, the last model considered discards the shoot-look-shoot assumption and deals in particular with the idea of the probabilistic defense. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Dec 01, 1971
- Accession Number
- AD0747006
Entities
People
- Carsten M. Haaland
- Eugene P. Wigner
- John V. Wilson
Organizations
- Oak Ridge National Laboratory