Army Enlistments and the All-Volunteer Force: The Application of an Econometric Model

Abstract

The paper examines econometric models of Army enlistment behavior in terms of the enlistment experiences observed for 1958 to 1968, 1969, and 1970; and reports on how the results can be used by policy analysts. It discusses econometric models that were developed to explain the behavior of white Army enlistees in the top three mental categories. The results are used to compare the forecasting accuracy of the models with other simpler models, to assess the effects on enlistments of a shift to the lottery draft, and to make projections of enlistments to 1980.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 1972
Accession Number
AD0753217

Entities

People

  • Alan E. Fechter

Organizations

  • Institute for Defense Analyses

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Business Administration
  • Classification
  • Department Of Defense
  • Economic Analysis
  • Economic Models
  • Economics
  • Employment
  • Enlisted Personnel
  • Equations
  • Governments
  • Recruiting
  • Recruits
  • Specifications
  • Statistics
  • Surveys
  • United States

Readers

  • Naval Personnel Management
  • Theoretical Analysis.