On Long Run Trade Imbalance,

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate a property of free trade equilibrium between countries; namely, that the market mechanism will not, except under very special circumstances, bring about a balance of trade in any country either in the short or long run. To illustrate this two simple models are analyzed, first the neo-classical growth model introduced by Solow and second a pure exchange model of Samuelson. In each case the author shows that when several countries engage in trade the models possess unique world steady states equilibria which are stable and in which every country is either permanent net importer or permanent net exporter and only by coincidence will any country have a balance of trade. As a record result it is shown that this state of imbalance is not disadvantageous to any of the trading countries in the sense that they are better off in the world steady state than they would be in the steady state they would have achieved under antarchy. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1972
Accession Number
AD0754416

Entities

People

  • David Gale

Organizations

  • University of California, Berkeley

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algebra
  • Determinants (Mathematics)
  • Steady State

Fields of Study

  • Economics

Readers

  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union
  • Industrial Economics
  • Mathematical Modeling and Probability Theory.