First Quarterly Technical Report, Quarter Ended 31 January 1973

Abstract

The report presents three tasks involved in decision theory RESEARCH: Task 1 - Investigate procedures for improving human judgments of probabilities + utilities for decision making. In performing this investigation, DDI will conduct research on the application of decision theory to problems in policy analysis + resource allocation; Task 2 - Conduct problem oriented workshops for DOD personnel in which the potential value of decision analysis techniques is displayed to decision makers by showing them how decision analysis can be applied to real problems; Task 3 - Prepare a handbook for users of decision analysis designed for the manager, or staff, responsible for organizing and managing a decision analysis rather than for the decision analytic technician.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 1973
Accession Number
AD0757117

Entities

People

  • Cameron R. Peterson
  • Clinton W. Kelly Iii

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Aircrafts
  • Airplanes
  • Case Studies
  • Commerce
  • Decision Theory
  • Department Of Defense
  • Geographic Regions
  • Handbooks
  • Intelligence Analysts
  • Intelligence Collection
  • Judgment
  • Military Research
  • National Security
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Reconnaissance Aircraft
  • Security

Readers

  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.
  • Technical Research and Report Writing.