Which Future for the Planner: Proposals

Abstract

The report distinguishes between four categories of studies: technological forecasting, threat studies, environmental (socio-political) forecasting, and concept studies and highlights their contribution to defense decision making. It presents nine non-mutually exclusive rationales for consideration of the future. Four time frames (near, mid-, long-, and very-long-range) are discussed showing the interrelationship of the constituent parts. Particular emphasis is given to a proposal for an unconstrained very-long-range study. It calls for approaching the addressal of the future in a manner provides guidance, which relates products addressing each time frame to the closer time frame studies, and, which provides a guide to proper balancing of resources and the type and extent of output.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 22, 1973
Accession Number
AD0760931

Entities

People

  • John R. Cameron

Organizations

  • United States Army War College

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Addressing
  • Defense Planning
  • Delphi Method
  • Economic Forecasting
  • Environment
  • Force Structure
  • Guidance
  • Industrial Production
  • International Relations
  • Materials
  • Military Organizations
  • Military Planning
  • National Security
  • Personnel Management
  • Social Sciences
  • United States
  • War Colleges

Readers

  • Economics
  • Systems Analysis and Design