Typhoon and Tropical Storm Intensity Forecasts Using Statistical Regression Equations.

Abstract

Statistical regression equations were derived to predict future 24-hour changes in intensity of tropical storms and typhoons in the western North Pacific. The predictors were chosen from 55 parameters available at six-hourly observations of tropical storms and typhoons during the period 1960-1969. Two five-predictor equations, which require only 12 hours of history, can predict intensity for the majority of storms within the period July-September, and give significantly better results than current intensity forecast methods.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 1973
Accession Number
AD0761379

Entities

People

  • Glenn Gray Coltrane

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acquisition
  • Equations
  • Intensity
  • Observation

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Regression Analysis.