Dynamic Foreign Policy Interactions: Some Implications for a Non-Dyadic World

Abstract

The paper develops a formal theoretical approach to the study of the effects of third parties on the dyadic interactions of nations. A formalized general theory is presented and some of the predictions which it generates are tested. Particular attention is paid to the impact of saliency on the shaping of an actor's foreign policy in the context of dyadic and triadic consistency considerations. The findings reveal that third party activity does have an impact on dyadic relationships and that its impact is generally conditioned by the saliency of the third party to the actor involved. Thus, both third party activity and saliency are shown to be important considerations in the attempt to specify the decision making rules which nations use in dealing with other nations. The paper also demonstrates the utility of developing formal models to achieve this end in the context of the growing difficulties associated with the application of statistical methods to such endeavors.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 30, 1973
Accession Number
AD0764872

Entities

People

  • Patrick T. Callahan
  • Warren R. Phillips

Organizations

  • Ohio State University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agreements
  • Computer Simulations
  • Consistency
  • Cooperation
  • Data Analysis
  • Equations
  • Foreign Policy
  • International Conflicts
  • International Organizations
  • International Relations
  • National Security
  • New York
  • Political Science
  • Simulations
  • Statistical Analysis
  • United States
  • Ussr

Readers

  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union
  • Neural Network Machine Learning.
  • Systems Analysis and Design