Bayesian Reliability Demonstration: Phase 3. Development of Test Plans

Abstract

alled Bayes/Classical in this report) when the producer and consumer cannot agree on a prior distribution; Develop methods of updating existing prior distributions; Develop a preliminary military standard for BRDT; Investigate some special problems; Fit additional prior distributions. Bayesian fixed times tests, Bayesian/Classical fixed time tests, and Sequential Bayesian tests were developed and tabulated. These tests form an essential part of the preliminary military standard which was also developed. Additional fits of the inverted gamma distribution reconfirmed its choice as a prior distribution and further study showed that updates in the prior distribution are easily made. A test based on probability of acceptance is satisfactory to test for shifts in the prior distribution. Tables were developed giving the truncation points for the sequential tests. At this time, no satisfactory solution has been found for placing more than one equipment on test at a time.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1973
Accession Number
AD0765172

Entities

People

  • J. R. Collins
  • R. E. Schafer
  • T. S. Sheffield

Organizations

  • Hughes Aircraft Company

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • C4I
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agreements
  • Air Force
  • Air Force Facilities
  • Aircrafts
  • Consumers
  • Data Sets
  • Engineering
  • Equations
  • Military Standards
  • Normal Distribution
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Standards
  • Statistical Tests
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Truncation

Readers

  • Aerospace Test and Evaluation
  • Applied Combinatorial Optimization and Logic Circuit Design.
  • Approximation Theory.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference