The Magnitude of Variability in Cost Estimates,

Abstract

The note proposes guidelines which might be useful in determining variability within cost comparison studies when the statistical variability is unknown. The definition and use of statistical uncertainty is discussed and illustrated with examples pertaining to site location evaluations. A logical means is suggested for deriving a statistical parameter from the engineering and managerial concept of percent error. Once a measure of the standard deviation of a cost has been postulated, use of such a measure is suggested for: Determining the variability of a total cost, Estimating a standard deviation of a total cost difference, and Determining a least significant difference for the comparison of several total cost estimates. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1973
Accession Number
AD0765446

Entities

People

  • Ira A. Dearmon Jr.

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Cost Estimates
  • Costs
  • Data Science
  • Engineering
  • Information Science
  • Standards
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Uncertainty

Readers

  • Regression Analysis.
  • Systems Analysis and Design