Methods of Presenting Climatological Information for Use in Planning and Supporting Weather Sensitive Operations
Abstract
The research considered the devising of climatic presentations for usage in preparing 2- and 4-hour forecasts of low ceilings and restricted visibilities and the providing of integrated-wind information within the drop- zone layer in support of paradrop operations. A hierarchy of empirical relationships for estimating the recurrence probabilities under a numer of contingencies are made possible through the use of statistical modelling techniques which act to conserve the data base. These are: (1) a model for generating recurrence probabilities which considers only the latest observed ceiling category, (2) one which incorporates surface wind information, (3) another which includes moisture considerations and (4) one which introduces observed moisture and wind information diagnostically without having to assume the persistency of these variables, or otherwise forecast their behavior, throughout the forecast interval.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 30, 1973
- Accession Number
- AD0766464
Entities
People
- Donald E. Martin
- Edwin Chin
- Louis J. Hull
Organizations
- Saint Louis University