South Indian Tropical Cyclone Strike Probabilities. Volume I. 24-Hour Movement, Volume II. 48-Hour Movement. Volume III. 72-Hour Movement,

Abstract

Probabilities relating to the future movement of South Indian tropical cyclones are presented. The probabilities are based on observational data of successive 12-hour positions of the centers of these storms. The data are stratified into five seasons December-January, February, March, April and May-November. Geographical areas are defined by five-degree latitude-longitude squares. The probabilities are computed assuming the initial storm position or 'origin' is always at the center of the square and the target areas are always circular areas with radii of one, two and three degrees latitude which are also located at the center of the squares. These probabilities indicate the change of the storm center being within the target areas at the end of specified time intervals. (Modified author abstract)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1973
Accession Number
AD0771866

Entities

People

  • Harold L. Crutcher
  • Lee R. Hoxit

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Abstracts
  • Cyclones
  • Grids
  • Grids (Coordinates)
  • Intervals
  • Latitude
  • Longitude
  • Probability
  • Time Intervals
  • Tropical Cyclones

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology