Tropical Cyclone Movement Forecasts Based on Observations from Satellites
Abstract
A method to predict 24-hr movement of tropical cyclones using consecutive daily satellite views is described. The method is based on the observation that changes in the location of major structural features of the storm are correlated with changes in the direction of movement of storm centers. Major structural features appear to retain the same relative location with respect to the direction of movement of the storm center. The rotation of features noted in comparing satellite views over a 24-hr period is frequently found to approximate in sense and value the further deflection the storm will take in its track during the following 24 hours. A test evaluation of the method by seven individuals using 31 separate data sets of satellite data produced results significantly better than official 24-hr forecasts.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jan 01, 1974
- Accession Number
- AD0774683
Entities
People
- Robert W. Fett
- Samson Brand