Long Term Projections of Political and Military Power,
Abstract
Techniques of Long Term Projections were evaluated. Among these the most useful tools were identified and applied. Major results: Japan and Western Europe will be increasingly dependent on outside energy resource support which may induce political/military dependence. China was identified as increasingly expansive in economic development; capable of sustaining industrial growth rates between 10 and 20 percent over the next decades. Even though, indications are that by 1990 China will only have caught up in absolute terms with the level of economic development of the 1970 USSR. The production and consumption of energy, and the regional energy resource balances were found to be the only major physical variable that will importantly influence regional power relations over the next decades. (Modified author abstract)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jan 01, 1973
- Accession Number
- AD0777691
Entities
People
- Klaus Knorr
- Klaus P. Heiss
- Oskar Morgenstern