Cybernetic Analysis of a Simulated International Threat System: Principles and Procedures
Abstract
The report states the principles and procedures governing the design, construction, execution and analysis of a simulated international threat system. These principles and procedures address themselves to: (1) the application of cybernetics to threat research specifically, and international relations research generally; (2) the research utility of an expanded notion of threat, namely 'situational threat'; and, (3) the use of event data in the simulation of synthetic international futures. The approach adopted to explore these issues is to ask experimental subjects in a simulated context to monitor, and where possible, control a synthetic international threat system. The argument is advanced that cybernetics and systems analysis techniques are particularly well suited to the analysis of complex systems which are constantly changing.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Aug 01, 1974
- Accession Number
- AD0783947
Entities
People
- Richard S. Beal
Organizations
- University of Southern California