Forecast 90.

Abstract

The paper is an analysis of Forecast 90--a concept for developing forecasting methodologies that is directly applicable to long range planning. Methodology experiments consisted of adapting decision type networks to forecasting. Results of the research indicate that it is possible to project several possible and plausible trends into the future. Outcomes of each possible trend projection are stated in terms of the initial conditions or trend being projected. This methodology provides a planner with a diagram, or map, to several possible outcomes. It shows him all the changes and events that must occur in order to reach each outcome. (Modified author abstract)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 30, 1974
Accession Number
AD0785495

Entities

People

  • Bill T. Thompson

Organizations

  • United States Army War College

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Abstracts
  • Collaborative Techniques
  • Delphi Method

Readers

  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis
  • Theoretical Analysis.