Delphi Assessment: Expert Opinion, Forecasting, and Group Process

Abstract

This report presents a critical analysis of the Delphi technique. The analysis is in four parts. First, the scope of the inquiry is defined, and issues pertinent to an evaluation of Delphi are raised. Second, conventional Delphi is evaluated against established professional standards for opinion questionnaires, and against associated scientific standards for experimentation with human subjects. Third, Delphi is evaluated with respect to its assumptions, principles, and methodology. Fourth, conclusions of the analysis are brought together and recommendations are made for the future use of Delphi.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 01, 1974
Accession Number
AD0786878

Entities

People

  • H. Sackman

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Business Administration
  • Composite Materials
  • Computational Science
  • Data Science
  • Databases
  • Delphi Method
  • Health Services
  • Information Processing
  • Information Retrieval
  • Information Science
  • Medical Personnel
  • Operations Research
  • Personnel Management
  • Psychology
  • Recreation
  • Surveys

Readers

  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.