Long-Range Forecasting of Scientific-Technological Progress
Abstract
Classification of forecasts is known as first echelon--for 15-20 years ahead; second echelon--for the first decade of the 21st century; and third echelon--for approximately 100 years ahead. At the present time there is a necessity to speak of a fourth echelon of long-range forecasting for an even longer period of time--for several centuries, and perhaps even longer. The report deals with the questions: Is it necessary to be concerned with so long- range a forecast; and is it necessary in light of the tasks that stand before us in the contemporary situation.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Sep 25, 1974
- Accession Number
- AD0787399
Entities
People
- V. Siforov
Organizations
- Air Force Systems Command