ALLOCATING CONTESTED SPACE IN A REGIONAL MOVEMENT-TO-SHELTER SYSTEM: A CASE STUDY OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION
Abstract
This paper focuses upon the problem of regional interactions in planning movement-to-shelter (MTS) systems. The MTS system envisaged in this research effort is one designed to move urban populations during crises to fallout shelters located in peripheral areas of low target interest. Basic criteria are established for use in defining areas to be evacuated and those to be used as MTS reception centers. The total area to be evacuated includes the urbanized area plus a 10-mile buffer zone. It was assumed that a distance of 50 miles measured from the edge of the urbanized area would be a practical outer bound for the reception region. The resulting 40-mile-wide annulus (50 miles minus the 10-mile buffer zone) was the basis for determining specific reception areas. Possible military targets and otherwise unsuitable land areas (swamps, etc.) were then deleted in identifying usable reception areas within the 40-mile annulus. Applying these criteria to closely located cities such as those of the Central Gulf Coast Region, one soon encounters the problem of overlapping reception areas: those which could be claimed by two or more evacuating cities. This problem is resolved by use of a linear programming model which allocates regional reception space on an optimal basis. Its objective is to allocate evacuating population in a manner that will minimize fatalities.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jan 01, 1967
- Accession Number
- AD0819125
Entities
People
- Grace J. Kelleher
Organizations
- Institute for Defense Analyses