ESTIMATES OF THE POTENTIAL OF THE US ECONOMY FOLLOWING A STRATEGIC ATTACK IN 1975,
Abstract
This study estimates the potential performance of the US economy following two separate enemy attacks postulated to occur in June 1975-- a counterforce attack and one partially targeted on population. These estimates were generated as solutions to a linear programming problem. Maximization of total value added within a set of upper and lower bounds on final deliveries was taken as the objective function. The constraints include a set of input-output relationships, a set of restrictions on emergency output, and a labor force limitation. A range of solutions was obtained by varying the expected number of survivors and the proportion of the population in the labor force. The results of the Study indicate that the survivors of the attacks may suffer only a minor reduction in their accustomed standard of living provided that the surviving resources can be organized to maximum advantage. In fact, living standards within the first year following either attack could compare favorably to those enjoyed in this country in the post-World War II period. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Nov 01, 1967
- Accession Number
- AD0839033
Entities
People
- Edward S. Pearsall
- Jane-ring F. Crane
- Leonard J. Bickley
Organizations
- Institute for Defense Analyses