A SEQUENTIAL DECISION-MAKING APPROACH TO POPULACE SCREENING IN COUNTERINSURGENCY OPERATIONS.

Abstract

An important problem in counterinsurgency is the screening of the populace through search and interrogation, so as to apprehend insurgents and their supporters. The problem is one of sequential decision making. Decisions must be made as to the frequency of operations and the duration of each and the size of the force to be used. Recursive relationships are developed describing the change in the insurgent population contingent upon whether screening operations occur. The cost criteria includes setup costs, unit screening costs, costs for insurgents presence in the area, and the cost of insurgents remaining at the end of the planning period. A numerical example is solved using a shortest-path algorithm from graph theory. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1968
Accession Number
AD0841264

Entities

People

  • Robert Lee Vogt

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Counterinsurgency
  • Frequency
  • Graph Theory
  • Interrogation
  • Management Engineering
  • Management Planning And Control
  • Mathematics
  • Network Analysis (Management)

Readers

  • Operations Research
  • Political Violence and Terrorism Studies.
  • Regression Analysis.