Probability of Kill by a Semi-Random Pattern.
Abstract
In this analysis, a model is formulated to compute the probability of killing a system of targets with a semi-random pattern of projectiles. The projectiles have regularly spaced nominal points from which their positions vary according to independent bivariate normal distributions. A Monte Carlo simulation is used to obtain probabilities of hit on the individual targets. The probability of kill given a hit is obtained using an individual kill criterion for each target. The probability of kill on the target system results from a logic function which expresses system survival in terms of the individual target survival states. Any level of complexity involving redundancy of targets and multiple hit requirements may be accommodated. The model has been programmed for digital computation. Sample results for some cases of general interest are presented in the report. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jul 14, 1969
- Accession Number
- AD0857631
Entities
People
- J. W. Duroux
Organizations
- The Aerospace Corporation