A Model of Carrier-Submarine Interactions

Abstract

The paper develops analytic expressions for the probability that a single aircraft carrier, opposed by submarines, can remain on station for a specified length of time. The threat from both torpedo and cruise-missile submarines is considered, but the threat from aircraft is not. Expressions for expected submarine losses are derived. Expressions are also developed to show how the probability of remaining on station improves as the carrier's resistance to damage increases. A wide variety of ASW force compositions and tactics can be represented in the parameters of the model. Appendix C presents an alternative way to formulate the problem and derive the quantities mentioned above. The two methods produce results that are in excellent agreement. The intention of the authors is to provide a tool that can be used to improve carrier effectiveness through the study of tactics and force interactions.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 1970
Accession Number
AD0867847

Entities

People

  • J. K. Tyson
  • J. S. Finucane
  • J. V. Hall

Organizations

  • Center for Naval Analyses

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agreements
  • Aircraft Carriers
  • Aircrafts
  • Contractors
  • Cruise Missiles
  • Naval Vessels
  • Naval Vessels (Combatant)
  • Probability
  • Resistance
  • Ships
  • Submarines
  • Vehicles
  • Watercraft

Readers

  • Maritime and Naval Warfare Studies
  • Statistical inference.
  • Systems Analysis and Design