The Effect of Target Maneuvering on Kill Probability in Air-to-Air Gunnery

Abstract

A study was made to determine the effect of target maneuvering during projectile flight time on kill probability in air-to-air gunnery. The effect of target uncertainty was analyzed by comparing kill probabilities for a specified non-maneuvering target with kill probabilities for an average defensively maneuvering target. The kill probabilities were calculated using a mathematical model to approximate the gunnery attack. Firing conditions were parametrically varied from 500 to 3000 feet line of sight range and zero to 45 degrees angle-off. Two dissimilar rapid firing cannons are compared in the analysis. It was concluded that target uncertainty has no effect on kill probability when the time of flight is less than .5 seconds, but that it significantly affects kill probability when the time of flight is greater than .8 seconds. It was also concluded, that for air-to-air gunnery, the ballistic dispersion of rapid firing cannons should be such that 80 percent of the rounds are within a circle of nine to ten mils diameter.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1972
Accession Number
AD0903418

Entities

People

  • Richard E. Guild

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Aerial Warfare
  • Air Force
  • Aircrafts
  • Coordinate Systems
  • Engineering
  • Fighter Aircraft
  • Firing Rate
  • Flight Paths
  • Geometry
  • Line Of Sight
  • Mathematical Models
  • Models
  • Plastic Explosives
  • Probability
  • Targets
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Weapons

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Aviation Science / Aeronautics.
  • Marksmanship and Weaponry.