Selected Statistical Techniques Applicable to ASW Exercise Design and Analysis

Abstract

This report contains: (1) a method for calculating symmetric confidence intervals for search rate and mean time-to-detection for the active and passive area search missions; (2) a method for calculating approximate confidence intervals on cumulative detection probability as a function of range for the general case containing turn-arounds (CPAs) and late-starters; (3) the application (and modification) of various techniques for calculating approximate confidence intervals on Mission Measures of Effectiveness that are in the form of products of proportions; and (4) a discussion of the potential bias due to late-starters in the development of cumulative detection probability as a function of range. Recommendations for eliminating (or at least minimizing) this bias are included in this report.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 28, 1973
Accession Number
AD0907764

Entities

People

  • Barbara W. Perneski
  • Lyman L. Mcdonald
  • Peter H. Vanderwaart

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Confidence Limits
  • Data Science
  • Databases
  • Detection
  • Distribution Functions
  • Information Science
  • Measures Of Effectiveness
  • Military Research
  • Navy
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Standards
  • Statistics
  • Submarines
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Two Dimensional

Readers

  • Calculus or Mathematical Analysis
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Systems Analysis and Design