Defense Science Board Summer Study on Strategic Surprise

Abstract

The study explored current and future operational contexts. The study defined "strategic surprise" as an event for which the United States is not adequately prepared and that may result in very high cost. It was assumed that such an event will inevitably occur in today's complex and rapidly changing world. In accordance with its charter, the study reviewed how information about a potentialadversary may lead to changing current Department priorities and what the possible actions andhedges against those changing priorities may be. The study considered what actions, if nottaken by the Department, might lead to potential regrets in 2024. They study also reviewedpossible actions and hedges against changing priorities.The study focused on potential regrets in eight areas and provides recommendations to avoidstrategic surprise in those eight domains. The domains include: * Countering Nuclear Proliferation * Ballistic and Cruise Missile Defense * Space Security * Undersea Warfare * Cyber * Communications and Positioning, Navigation, and Timing (PNT) * Counterintelligence * Logistics Resilience.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 01, 2015
Accession Number
AD1001623

Entities

Organizations

  • Defense Science Board

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Cyber
  • Engineered Resilient Systems
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acquisition
  • Autonomous Systems
  • Counterintelligence
  • Cruise Missiles
  • Department Of Defense
  • Logistics
  • Navigation
  • Nuclear Proliferation
  • Resilience
  • Security
  • Supply Chain Management
  • Undersea Warfare
  • United States
  • Unmanned Systems
  • Warfare
  • Weapons Effects

Readers

  • Aerospace Engineering.
  • Defense Acquisition Program Management
  • Irregular Warfare and Special Operations Cyberspace Operations against Adversarial Threats.

Technology Areas

  • Cyber
  • Cyber - Legality in Cyberspace
  • Space