GEO Collisional Risk Assessment Based on Analysis of NASA-WISE Data and Modeling

Abstract

From December 2009 through 2011 the NASA Wide-Field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE) gathered radiometrically exquisite measurements of debris in near Earth orbits, substantially augmenting the current catalog of known debris. The NASA-WISE GEO belt debris population adds potentially thousands previously uncataloged objects. This paper describes characterization of the NASA-WISE GEO belt orbital debris population in terms of location, epoch, and size. Previous studies of collisional rate in GEO invoke the presence of a large number of debris in the region, with characteristic sizes too small to track, i.e. not in the catalog, but large enough to cause significant damage and fragmentation in a collision. We use new information suggested by the analysis of NASA-WISE infrared measurements to propose an updated GEO belt debris population. Our population estimate is an improvement over previous population estimates because of the unique characteristics of the NASA-WISE, a multispectral infrared imager. Based on the revised population estimate, we estimate the total collisional rate in the GEO belt with the inclusion of projected uncatalogued debris and application of a conjunction assessment technique.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 18, 2015
Accession Number
AD1001966

Entities

People

  • Derek Surka
  • Jeremy M. Krezan
  • Phan D. Dao
  • Samantha Howard

Organizations

  • Air Force Research Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Algorithms
  • Artificial Satellites
  • Collisions
  • Debris
  • Earth Orbits
  • Elements
  • Emittance
  • Geosynchronous Orbits
  • Geosynchronous Satellites
  • Low Earth Orbits
  • Measurement
  • Orbital Elements
  • Orbits
  • Risk
  • Space Debris
  • Spacecraft

Fields of Study

  • Physics

Readers

  • Astronomy and Astrophysics.
  • Nuclear Civil Defense.
  • Regression Analysis.

Technology Areas

  • Space
  • Space - Orbital Debris