Incorporating Resilience into Dynamic Social Models

Abstract

We propose an overarching framework designed to incorporate various aspects of social resilience, through the melding of independent resilience functions, each representing a definition or measure of resilience, into a comprehensive model. This framework generates a generic resilience function which integrates key aspects of resilience, such as stability and ability to recover. In this paper, we introduce a theoretical foundation, and then calibrate our model so that it matches reality with acceptable explanations using established social theories. The model also considers the dynamic properties of social resilience across cultures, geographical environments, economic developments, and other evolving factors, as well as resilience to the aforementioned dynamic impulses. As a demonstration of capability, we modeled the resilience of a fishing community along the coastal region of Somalia (1991 2012) during the waxing and waning of coastal piracy.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 20, 2016
Accession Number
AD1012275

Entities

People

  • Eunice E. Santos

Organizations

  • University of Texas at El Paso

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Engineered Resilient Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force Research Laboratories
  • Bayesian Networks
  • Classification
  • Coastal Regions
  • Communities
  • Electronic Mail
  • Environment
  • Intellectual Property
  • National Governments
  • Networks
  • Probabilistic Models
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Reasoning
  • Regions
  • Urban Areas

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Distributed Systems and Data Platform Development
  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union